A summary of CMHC's 2005 report
-
The Toronto job market
is strong (2.5% growth in 2004 and a 2.8% in
2005), strong employment growth leads to continued real
estate growth.
-
Greater percentage of 45-64yrs
landing jobs, in turn
boosting repeat home buyer demand.
-
A shift from new to resales.
As the price of new homes has risen over the past few years, we will
see resale homes gain more market share. As a percentage of Total
home sales, resales were at a low of approx. 58%
in 2002 but, it is forecasted they will consist
of approx. 68% by 2005.
-
Resales
will regain a greater market share due to newer
existing inventory, more modest price increases and higher home equity.
This repeat buying will trigger more supply.......
-
New home detached prices are
starting to match resale prices....
they will become less affordable. This is in part due to the diminishing
land supply, which in turn is putting pressure on lot
prices and new home prices.
-
There will be a shift from
detached homes to semis and townhome/rows, as
detached become more expensive.
-
The modestly priced suburban
areas will see the strongest price increases in the coming
year. Oakville leads all suburban markets with approx.
68% sales to new listings, Mississauga is second with approx.
57% sales to new listings.
Source: CMHC Forecast for 2005